Gold retested $1350 in overnight trading, extending this current move more than $84 in the last couple of months. The chart above is admittedly busier than I generally like, but so much is happening technically with the gold price.
Gold successfully retested falling support from the 2011 peak (red line) at $1180 in late-2018. This coincided with a successful retest of rising support from the 2015 low. Gold is now meeting resistance from prior peaks between 1350-1370 during every attempt over the last 6 years to break out. (more…)
The precious metals sector has continued the momentum it closed with in May. Gold and silver, in particular have been surging this first trading day in June. Let’s take a look at the technicals.
Gold has moved from a bottom at 1167 last July to a peak at 1350 in February. Beginning in February, volatility began narrowing and gold has been mired in a falling wedge pattern. According to Bulkowski (2010), 92% of falling wedge patterns break to the upside, and of those that break, 90% reach the upside target which is measured as the distance from the breakout move to peak, added to the recent breakout. I see the original break as $1238, so in this case, that would set an upside objective at $1400-$1420. (more…)
During this past week ending May 31st, 2019, oil sold off sharply, closing the week down almost $6 to $53.37, while gold rallied to close the week at $1305.50. I like to monitor the price of oil in gold terms, and to do that I use 100 barrels of oil as the numerator and the price of one ounce of gold as the denominator.
This ratio has been in a downtrend channel for a decade, with a countertrend move beginning in 2016 and failing recently during the oil sell-off last fall, which led to the breakdown of the blue channel. Oil has since tried to retest that support line through the first part of this year, but failed the retest last week. This failure is bearish, meaning that it indicates a lower ratio going forward, which should be strong for gold and weak for oil.
Following weeks of low volatility, where the CBOE Gold Volatility Index fell to a decade low of 8.75, gold rallied $15 per ounce today to close at $1284. Simultaneously, the US dollar broke above heavy resistance (briefly) at 98. As the dollar goes, so go the metals.
Gold has been forming a long, rounded bottom since 2013, and the chart looks constructive. The bull case for gold technically is that the price has remained above the 200 day moving average for the entirety of 2019, and the 200 DMA is now turning up. Gold also pushed into overbought territory on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) earlier this year, and as not oversold, which indicates that gold still has positive momentum. (more…)
What is a Troy Ounce?
First-time precious metals buyers are often confused by the difference between a troy ounce (ozt) and a “regular” ounce, especially when their 100 oz silver bar actually weighs 6.85 lbs on the scale instead of 6.25 lbs. Did they receive more silver than they paid for? The answer lies in an antiquated system of measurement still used today for precious metals known as troy weights. (more…)
How much is gold worth? Under normal circumstances most of us don’t dwell on how a product we pick up on a store shelf came to get its price. If we take a few moments to contemplate the raw materials, labor and transportation costs needed for that product to reach us, not to mention the retailer’s markup, it is clear that the price assigned to a given product is the result of a series of complex yet logical forces involving various actors and transactions throughout the supply chain. Is the price of gold any different? (more…)
Written by Border Gold Aug 7, 2018
The gold market continues to see selling pressure as the market searches for a bottom. Although the big, round $1200 per-ounce level is not far off, the market may need to do more work on the downside before it is able to build a long-term base. Low summer trading volumes and scant risk aversion are not doing the market any favors. (more…)
Written by Border Gold July 30, 2018
The bears have maintained a tight grip on the gold market, and prices continue to struggle to make any type of reversal to the upside. Higher stocks, a strong appetite for risk, a rising dollar and higher bond yields have all likely taken a toll on the yellow metal. That being said, the near-term does not seem to provide much reason to be bullish. (more…)
Texas Precious Metals Depository announces the addition of New Direction IRA – a provider of self-directed IRAs, 401(k)s, health savings accounts (HSAs), and other such tax-advantaged savings vehicles – as a preferred custodian for self-directed IRA services at its new storage facility. In conjunction with New Direction, Texas Precious Metals Depository (TPMD) will complement the retail services provided by Texas Precious Metals to meet the needs of precious metals IRA investors. (more…)